Articles related to commercial traders
 
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
Gold Vanishing Into Private Hoards The Dollar: An Agonizing Reappraisal Part One 
The first thing to know about gold is that there is no alternative to it. Gold is the one and only commodity that has no marketing problem. There is no sales resistance and no competition to overcome. A gold reserve is as important for the nation as a bank account for the firm or individual. You keep part of your funds in idle bank balances in order to be ’liquid’ - to be able to pay your bills. Gold is the ultimate and unquestioned world-wide ’liquidity’.
Thursday, July 16, 2020
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Silver bullion will likely outperform gold bullion going forward
by John Rubino of Dollar Collapse Normally the action in the gold and silver futures markets tends to be pretty similar, since the same general forces affect both precious metals. When inflation or some other source of anxiety is ascendant, both metals rise, and vice versa. But lately – perhaps in a sign of how confused the world is becoming – gold and silver traders have diverged. Taking gold first, the speculators – who tend to be wrong at major inflection points – remain extremely bullish. Co
Tuesday, March 6, 2018
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Silver Looking Better Than Gold
Based on Commitment of Traders (COT) data John Rubino at Dollar Collapse prefers silver over gold. The gold COT chart (GC) shows large speculators are net long 178,718 contracts while the commercial traders are short 199,796. Short specs are long 20,808 contracts, making up the difference. Data is is reported on Friday for the prior Tuesday. Large speculators are typically hedge funds and small speculators are individual traders or tiny funds trading a small number of contracts. The commerci
Sunday, March 4, 2018
Michael Ballanger
The Rhyme of the Ancient Speculator: Bullish Silver COT
Twenty-seven months and two days ago, I was under huge emotional duress due to the dreadful action in the gold market as prices had been under severe manipulative pressure since mid-October. Under the excruciating weight of incessant shenanigans (interventions), the price of gold was in abject freefall, having plunged from $1,189.90 to $1,062.60 or around 10.7% in a mere six weeks. On Friday, December 4, the COT for the week ended December 1, 2015. was reported and as I read the gold portion of
Saturday, March 3, 2018
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold Price: The Significance Of $1320
I told subscribers to expect $1320 to function as a headwind for gold on this rally, and that’s happening right on schedule. This is the important weekly gold chart. Note that the two biggest volume bars both occurred as key events in India occurred. It could be said that when America catches a general stock market cold, world markets get the flu. Horrifically, when India catches the gold demand sniffles, Western gold and silver stocks can look like they have financial Ebola. It’s clear that
Wednesday, January 10, 2018
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Buy Gold, Silver Time After Speculators Reduce Longs and Banks Reduce Shorts
– Gold and silver COT suggests bottoming and price rally coming– Speculators cut way back on long positions and added to short bets– Commercials/banks significantly reduced short positions– Commercial net short position saw biggest one-week decline in COMEX history– ‘Big 4’ commercial traders decreased their short positions by 28,800 contracts – Seasonally, January is generally a good month to own gold (see table) – “If history is still reliable, January will be a great month to own precious met
Monday, December 25, 2017
Michael Ballanger
COT Report: Predictably Stomach Churning but Bullish
Here is a really good question. Anyone out there lose money trading gold and silver or related mining shares in the past couple of months? I did. My friends did. The bulk of the managed money (hedge fund) players did. However, it's all "JUST FINE" because the Dow and the S&P hit all-time highs again as the last vestiges of the post-2008-GFC rescue reflation is now SURGING into paper assets. More importantly, those bullion bank millennials that were hired by their uncles and fathers and grandfath
Tuesday, December 19, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Fiat On Fire: Key Investor Tactics
Are government, central banks, and fiat money the three biggest bubbles in the history of the world? I would suggest they are. The rise of private money (bitcoin) combined with the rise of China and India as economic empires is popping these bubbles. Against bitcoin, fiat is now burning like an out of control wildfire. Within a year or two, it could begin disintegrating against gold in a somewhat similar manner. Whether that happens or not depends on whether a blockchain currency backed with g
Tuesday, December 19, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
  Gold And Cryptos Destroy Fiat
I’ve predicted that a long period of deflation in the Western world would end with a Fed taper, rate hikes and quantitative tightening. That’s clearly in play now, and the deregulation of America’s thousands of small banks is perhaps the most exciting event taking place on this new “inflationary frontier”. Because of these powerful monetary trends, I’ve predicted big problems ahead for Wall Street and somewhat better times for Main Street. Having said, that, I think investors would be making a
Wednesday, December 13, 2017
Michael Ballanger
  Cryptojunkies: Beware the Ides of December
It was two years ago this week that I proclaimed that we were witnessing the final lows in the 2011–2015 bear market in the precious metals as gold traded down to $1,045 amidst total capitulation by the Large Specs and after massive short-covering by the Commercial traders. The weekly COT for that week showed an aggregate short position of a miniscule 2,911 contracts down from the earlier highs of over 300,000 contracts. About six weeks later, despite the earlier bottom in gold, the HUI (NYSE Ar
Tuesday, December 12, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Precious Metals Breaking Down! 3 Amigos to Abort 4 Horsemen to Ride
I am not trying to be a wise guy with the first half of the title (it’s a goof on alarmist media), but if you were not bear biased or outright bearish on the gold sector’s daily and weekly technicals, and its macro and sector fundamentals by now all you have left are the alarmist headlines now telling us about H&S breakdowns, HUI/Gold ratio bearishness and whatever else is going on out there in media large and small to scare the lowly gold bug.As noted in an NFTRH update last night…It’s hard to
Thursday, December 7, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold And The Big Four: Slam Dunk
The synergistic relationship between gold and economic growth is quite healthy, and poised to become even more healthy in 2018 – 2019. This is the fabulous South Korean stock market ETF chart. Big name Western money managers are finally racing to move money into Asian markets, and this is great news for both gold and global stock markets. For several years I’ve recommended that the gold community slightly reduce (but not drop) their focus on gold’s Western world fear trade and increase thei
Wednesday, November 8, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold Stock ETFs: New Kid On Block
I’ve suggested that investors may need to look beyond the Head & Shoulders Top formations that recently appeared on bullion and many precious metal stocks. This is the daily gold chart. Intermediate uptrends often consist of three legs. In 2017, gold has had two legs up. The next US jobs report is scheduled for release on Friday. Will it be the catalyst that launches a third leg higher for gold? I’m not sure, but I am sure of what’s important for gold, which is that it is generally very well
Wednesday, November 1, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold Ownership: A Golden Wave
Several weeks ago, I surprised most investors by issuing my “Book Profits Now!” call for the precious metals asset class. When I did so, head and shoulders top formations immediately formed on gold and GDX, and prices have swooned. Rumours of a sudden drop in Indian dealer demand appeared to become a concern for commercial traders on the COMEX. India’s monsoon season has turned out to be a bit of a “bust”, with both flooding and drought. Farmers buy gold with a portion of their crop profits.
Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Theodore Butler - Butler Research
Eight Crooks Against The World
I’d like to share what may be a different way of looking at the gold and silver market, but still remain focused on what has been the primary driver of price – changes in the COMEX futures market structure. It has become fairly common knowledge that prices rise when the managed money traders buy and prices fall when these traders sell. So great is the effect on price of this COMEX derivatives positioning that it is discussed in more commentaries than ever before. And that is due to what has beco
Friday, September 8, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold: Book Profits Now
Graceland UpdatesBy Stewart Thomson 1.Gold has staged a fabulous rally from about $1220 to $1245.Using the December futures price chart, I’ve defined the $1300 - $1350 area as a spectacular profit booking opportunity for investors.2.Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge this gold chart.3.I’m an eager gold bullion seller now, but I’m less eager to sell gold stocks or silver bullion.That’s because they have not taken out their February highs while “Queen Gold” has done so easily.4.Gold ha
Tuesday, September 5, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold, Blockchain, Crash Season
Gold is consolidating the recent rally.  That rally (basis December futures) moved the price from the $1210 area up to about $1280. 2.Please click here now.  Double click to enlarge this short term gold chart.3.There’s a small head & shoulders top pattern in play, and commercial traders have been selling gold and shorting in that top area.4.Please click here now. When commercial traders add short positions into a gold price rally, a pause in the upside action often follows.5
Wednesday, August 9, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Say No To Debt Ceiling Drugs
By: Stewart Thomson1.Gold has rallied more than $60 per ounce in the last few weeks.  In the short term a new catalyst is needed to continue the rally, but the big picture looks fabulous.2.Please click here now.  India has a population of about 1.3 billion people, with the World Gold Council (WGC) noting that about 60% of them are under the age of 25.3.The WGC appears to be significantly underestimating the pace of recovery of the nation’s jewellery market. Indian demand in the first half of 201
Wednesday, August 2, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold Stocks Meet Mr. America
Gold continues to flow from the West to the East at a pretty solid pace. The SPDR fund (GLD-NYSE) holdings have oozed down to just 809 tonnes…and done so while the price of gold has strengthened! Many Western countries are net exporters of gold in quantities that exceed their total mine production. This is the gold chart. Gold’s latest rally began from the July 10 area lows of about $1205. The SPDR fund holdings were about 839 tonnes at that time. Gold’s $50 rally over the past two weeks
Tuesday, July 25, 2017
Michael Ballanger
Gritted Teeth and Clenched Fists
"Never underestimate the replacement power of stocks within a RE-flationary spiral." - Michael J. Ballanger Four weeks ago, after gold had corrected down from nearly $1,300 to around $1,240, I tweeted out that I was thinking about re-entering the JNUG (Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 3X ETF) market and proceeded to launch into one of my classic invectives on why the Commercials were going to get toasted and why I should be considered the Crown Prince of non-Linear Thinking in my s
Thursday, July 13, 2017
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