|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| RATIOS & INDEXES |
| Gold / Silver | 63.02 |
| Gold / Oil | 14.04 |
| Dowjones / Gold | 11.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 | Technical Analysis |  |
|
 | Adam Hamilton - Zealllc |
| SPX Topping Valuations |
| As the US stock markets keep on levitating, the bulls continue to rationalize this inexplicable melt-up by claiming stocks are still cheap.They use this as a justification to buy high.But is this true?Not by a long shot!Today the US stock markets are just as expensive in classic valuation terms as they were back in late 2007 when the last cyclical bull topped.That led to a brutal cyclical bear, the same risk faced today.When investors talk about stocks being cheap or expensive, they are referrinFriday, May 10, 2013 |
|
| Adam Hamilton - Zealllc |
| SPX Topping Extremes |
| The levitating stock markets continue to seductively entrance traders, powering to new nominal record highs day after day after day. No one believes a meaningful selloff is even possible anymore, thanks to the vast deluge of central-bank monetary inflation. Sheer euphoria has set in as all perception of risk has vanished. This makes these stock markets extraordinarily dangerous, they are truly at topping extremes. As of Wednesday, the flagship S&P 500 stock indSaturday, May 18, 2013 |
|
 | Clif Droke |
| How to spot (and avoid) market manipulation |
| We often hear investors complain of financial markets (and the gold market in particular) being "rigged" or manipulated. The sad yet somewhat humorous tale of Henry Gribbohm recently brought this accusation to life. The 30-year-old Gribbohm infamously lost his life savings of $2,600 on a carnival game in an attempt at winning an Xbox Kinect valued at $100. For his efforts, he walked away with a giant stuffed banana sans his $2,600 life savings.Gribbohm's tale is instructive if only because itFriday, May 10, 2013 |
|
 | Warren Bevan - Precious Metals Stock Review |
Stocks Soar, Metals Lag  |
| While the precious metals didn't fare so well this past week, many super moves in stocks did occur making it another just fantastic week for us.We're on a huge roll here and I'd like to see it continue but that is up to the market, not me.All we can do is stay in buy the dips and breakouts mode until it stops working.The force is strong with this market now and we must stay with it but that can change quickly and it's as important to be able to recognize a change as it is to know what to do.We wTuesday, May 14, 2013 |
|
| Clif Droke |
| Margin debt and the next stock market crash |
| The latest fear on Wall Street is that record levels of margin debt may end up toppling the stock market rally. NYSE margin debt recently reached its highest level since 2007 before the last major stock market peak and credit crash. Stephen Suttmeier, technical research analyst at Bank of America, noted that margin debt, rose 28% in March from a year ago to $380 billion. That figure is slightly below the July 2007 peak of $381 billion, although analysts speculate that April's margin debt totalsTuesday, May 14, 2013 |
|
 | Chris Vermeulen - GoldandOilGuy |
| Top 3 Trading Indicators for Profitable and Simple Trading |
| Many investors and traders make the same mistakes assuming that one needs
a complex trading system to consistently profit from the stock market. On the
contrary, some of the top performing strategies are the ones with the least
amount of moving parts and are simple. Because their simplicity they can be
easily and consistently followed.
The methodologies we use for timing the market, picking
stocks and option trades are
very simple because we focus mainly on price, volume and momeTuesday, May 14, 2013 |
|
 | Dan Dontrose - The Fundamental View |
| UPDATING THE WEAKEST OF THE METALS–SILVER |
| I wanted to follow up on my updated silver chart yesterday because some might say that silver had an outstanding reversal yesterday which confirms a higher price move is imminent. I think that frame of mind is pre-mature and while silver may spike up, it may also wash out again to the downside given that it is STILL in a bearish pattern. There are a couple of points I want to highlight. First, while yesterday’s price action was good, (silver was down hard overnight and rallied intraday to clSunday, May 12, 2013 |
|
 | David Petch - Treasure Chest |
| Update of the AMEX Gold BUGS and SP 500 Indices |
| This article was published for the benefit of subscribers on
April 30th, 2013
AMEX Gold BUGS Index
The daily chart of the Gold Miner's Bullish Percent Index is shown below,
with the HUI denoted in green. The ratio has managed to rise to 6.67, accompanied
by a small bounce in the HUI. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in
order of descent, with the %K above the %D in all three instances. Although
there is somewhat of a bounce, trends suggest that one more leg down is pending...Thursday, May 09, 2013 |
|
 | Florian Grummes - The Silver GoldSpot |
| Gold and Silver |
| Update 6th May 2013
Arguments for lower prices:
Gold broke down from huge descending triangle and out of 2 year sideways
zone. The old support between US$1,520.00 and US$1,540.00 now is massive
resistance. It will take more time to regain this level.
Recent recovery in mining stocks seems to be kind of muted (but could
also be bottoming phase..)
Movement out of Gold ETFs might just have started
Seasonality for precious metals until end of July unfavorable
Thursday, May 09, 2013 |
|
| Chris Vermeulen - GoldandOilGuy |
| How to Trade Gold, Silver and Precious Metal Miners |
| How to trade Gold and other precious metals related investments is not that
complex. But you must be willing to wait for price to provide low risk entry
points before getting involved. Precious metals are like any other investment
in respect to trading and investing in them. There are times when you should
be long, times to be in cash and times to be short (benefit from falling prices).
Since 2011 when gold and silver started another major bull market correction
the best position has bWednesday, May 08, 2013 |
|
| Chris Vermeulen - GoldandOilGuy |
| Gold Traders and Investors Get Ready To Rumble! |
| On April 2nd and again on April 12th I wrote a blog post titled Precious
Metals Melt-Down, and How To Manage It. I talked about how gold,
silver and gold mining stocks have been flying under the media radar
for over a year and that they were not catching the attention of traders,
investors and the public anymore. I also said it would take some sharp
price action (breakdown or rally) for it to be front and center again
on TV, Radio and NewspapWednesday, May 01, 2013 |
|
 | Jordan Roy Byrne - The Daily Gold |
| When Will Gold Bull Resume? |
| While Gold has seen a decent rebound, Silver and the mining shares (the more
speculative side of the complex) have failed to sustain any rebound despite
tremendously supportive sentiment amid an extreme oversold condition. Is the
failure to rebound bearish? Not really. This is a sector that is completely
sold out but there are yet to be enough buyers to generate a sustained rebound.
The combination of strength in conventional asset classes (stocks and bonds)
and poor performance overMonday, May 13, 2013 |
|
 | Chris Ciovacco - Ciovacco Capital Management |
| Stocks Could Continue Surprising Ascent |
| Stocks Break Above Twelve Year Base
The market's recent shift back into economically sensitive assets tells us
stocks could continue their surprising march higher despite the ongoing calls
for "sell in May". As shown in the chart below, the S&P 500 made no progress
during the last twelve years. The "no progress" pattern was recently broken,
which could lead to head-scratching gains in the months ahead.
Market Has Responded To Economic Data
The financial markets were pleased with the Monday, May 13, 2013 |
|
 | Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Will the Breakout in the USD Index Hurt Gold? |
| We haven’t touched on currencies for quite some time (our latest essay was dedicated entirely to gold: Gold Price in May 2013) now but last time we did, we mentioned the long-term breakout in the USD Index, which at that time was starting to take shape, but as the time wore on it became more and more significant. This is why in today’s essay we’ll focus mostly on the U.S. currency, review its current technical situation and its implications for gold and silver. Let us then jump straight into theSaturday, May 04, 2013 |
|
| Clif Droke |
| How the Fed creates bull and bear markets |
| Bull and bear markets don't just happen - they're created by the Federal Reserve. While few investors dispute the power that Fed interest rate policy has on the market, the extent to which it influences the direction of stock prices in both directions is often downplayed. Moreover, the health of the economy is often decided by the Fed's interest rate policy.While it's no secret that loose monetary policy on the Fed's part benefits stocks and can lead to credit bubbles, researchers tend to undeFriday, May 03, 2013 |
|
 | Gary Tanashian - Biwii |
| Macro Sleight of Hand is Working, for Now |
| Right in plain site, the Federal Reserve is doing this to the US money supply. It is a hockey stick with the blade pointing up, but will one day turn into a big, bloated chicken and come home to roost. The Fed's global counterparts continue apace with inflation as well.Meanwhile, economic data like M2's velocity would give out of control monetarists free license to provide more of what they say is good for us, because newly printed money is not getting out into the economy to a sufficient degreeMonday, May 06, 2013 |
|
| Jordan Roy Byrne - The Daily Gold |
| Gold Stocks to Rebound in May |
| Sell in May and don't go away. Sell and buy gold stocks.
We all know gold stocks have been a disaster for weeks and months. The HUI
gold bugs index kept falling below support levels until finding support near
260 which we consider to be very strong support and probably the major low.
In the nine trading days since the bottom the gold stocks have recovered only
slightly and gradually. However, after Tuesday's reversal, we see plenty of
evidence that augurs for a strong recovery in May.
Wednesday, May 01, 2013 |
|
| Chris Ciovacco - Ciovacco Capital Management |
| Markets Forecasted Favorable Employment Report |
| It is an understatement of grand proportions to say the financial markets
are complex and have a lot of moving parts. Therefore, looking at what is actually
happening vs. being overly concerned about what may happen next is a good way
to stay in line with the forces of supply and demand.
Employment Data Aligned With Markets
The bullish employment report may have come as a surprise to many, but as
we describe below, the markets were dropping bullish hints prior to Friday's
announcemeFriday, May 03, 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|