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Articles related to Money Supply
 
Jesse - Le Cafe Américain
Deflation, Hyperinflation, and Stagflation
The 'top down' approach to monetary stimulus favored by the Fed and their Banks and their politicians is fostering more inequality and slack aggregate demand while inflating select asset prices, a type of stagflation.  The 'inflation' component of that has not yet set
Tuesday, March 31, 2015
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Ben Bernanke, Confused as Ever, Starts His Own Blog to Prove It
Ben Bernanke just started his own blog at the Brookings Institute. His first post, from today, Inaugurating a New Blog is the announcement. Let's dive into Bernanke's second post of the day: Why are Interest Rates So Low? Bernanke: Low interest rates are not a short-term aberration, but part of a long-term trend. As the figure below shows, ten-year government bond yields in the United States were relatively low in the 1960s, rose to a peak above 15 percent in 1981, and have been declining ev
Tuesday, March 31, 2015
Captain Hook - Treasure Chest
Neurotics and the Art of a Short Squeeze
This week we have a two-day Fed meeting, where they hope their irrational bullsh*t story will scare the neurotics into buying puts and shorting again, so these idiots can be squeezed out going into options expiry. In this regard, its no mistake this Fed meeting is in an options expiry week (or at month's end), not that they couldn't accomplish the same thing with other jawboning type theatre. Amazingly, traders / money managers / whoever, are so out of it these days the Fed is able to influence
Monday, March 30, 2015
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
Market Report: FOMC minutes turned the tide
Following the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes last week, gold and silver have come alive, the gold price rising from a low of $1147 on 18th March to $1200 this morning and silver from $15.46 to $17.00, 4% and 10% increases respectively. The Commodity Futures trading Commission's (CFTC)Commitment of Traders Report released last Friday conveniently shows the positions of trading categories the night before the FOMC minutes were released. In gold, the Managed Money cate
Saturday, March 28, 2015
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
The Bank of England, 1720-1913
In 1844, there was a new regulation of the Bank of England, which separated the Bank into an Issue Department and a Banking Department. The Issue Department was solely responsible for issuing and managing banknotes, or "currency in circulation." The Banking Department was responsible for lending, including deposits. We recognize today that deposits at the currency issuer (central bank) are a form of base money, much like banknotes, because they are accepted as an ultimate form of payment. Thus, what we now recognize as "base money" was split between the two Departments. This introduced some funny issues, which we may talk about in much more detail later.
Wednesday, March 25, 2015
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
Market Report: FOMC is boxed in
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement released on Wednesday was notable for deferring interest rate rises to some unspecified time in the future. This was realistic, given the continuing strength of the dollar, downward revisions to the inflation outlook, and economic weakness in virtually all industry surveys. The Fed's obvious problem in deferring a rise in interest rates is the continuing improvement in the unemployment statistics. However these are seriously flawed: for example
Saturday, March 21, 2015
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Falling Interest Causes Falling Wages
Interest rates have been falling for over three decades. Conventional economics has two things to say about this. One, inflation expectations are falling. Monetarists believe that the interest rate is set based on bond traders’ predictions of future price increases. Two, if employment and GDP are weak, then the central bank should increase the money supply. By increasing the money supply, it will cause rising prices, and somehow that causes workers to get hired. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yelle
Thursday, March 19, 2015
Ed Bugos
Gold Price Outlook
I am very bullish on gold (even more on silver from here), as bullish as I have ever been, maybe more. I’ll summarize my reasons for you shortly. I’ve been wrong about it for two years now, ever since $1350.  Truth is, I warned of that number as the lower end of a possible range of prices through 2012 before the Fed rolled out “QE3”.  Although I have never rejected the possibility of even lower numbers for the bottom of this move, I have argued against them…in particular I have ruled out the i
Thursday, March 19, 2015
Captain Hook - Treasure Chest
Mission Accomplished
The process of our sovietized democracy devolution continues to accelerate with the bureaucratization of the Internet in the US, which will have more profound effects on the population than most realize. (i.e. think ?thought police?.) Make no mistake, this is a power grab by the bureaucrats to regulate and tax the net, further enhancing their ability to control all important aspects of your life, liberty, and freedom ? and nobody is doing anything about it. But what do you expect from an America
Monday, March 16, 2015
Michael Pento - Delta Global Advisors
Beware of The Inverted Yield Curve!
In the movies, an edgy musical score is an effective tool that warns the audience something really bad is about to happen. Like the shrill screech in Psycho, certain sound effects forebode impending doom. In like manner, economics also has a similar warning sign of imminent market chaos. This omen is called the inverted yield curve. And it's no coincidence that the last seven recessions have been preceded by this ominous predictor of economic and stock market disaster. The yield curve
Monday, March 16, 2015
Ron Paul
  A Green Light for the American Empire 
The American Empire has been long in the making. A green light was given in 1990 to finalize that goal. Dramatic events occurred that year that allowed the promoters of the American Empire to cheer. It also ushered in the current 25-year war to solidify the power necessary to manage a world empire. Most people in the world now recognize this fact and assume that the empire is here to stay for a long time. That remains to be seen. Empires come and go. Some pop up quickly and disappear i
Monday, March 16, 2015
John Rubino - Dollar Collapse
  Lessons of History, Part 1: Not a Mention of Money 
I'm listening to the audio version of George, Nicholas and Wilhelm: Three Royal Cousins and the Road to World War I, written by Miranda Carter and brilliantly narrated by Rosalyn Landor. It's the story of some almost supernaturally dysfunctional governments blundering into a war that seems more rather than less crazy with the passage of time. Among the many surprising facts from those days (one short century ago): Most European kings and queens were related. Only "royals"
Friday, March 13, 2015
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
  Gold Sucks! 
By Gary TanashianBen Kramer-Miller, a fundamental gold stock analyst who I keep an eye on, recently had an article at SeekingAlpha called Gold?s Bull Run Has Not Yet Begun.  I remember taking note of the title when it came out, but as is usually the case I did not have the time, nor the inclination to read it.  I like to keep my own thoughts square and balanced and don?t need other peoples? thoughts on gold clouding my own.But as I was fooling around over at the St. Louis Fed?s website (it is re
Friday, March 13, 2015
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
The Bank of England 1720-1844
we have now a bit of updating of something we looked at before: the Bank of England's balance sheet during the 18th and 19th centuries, when it was the premier institution managing a gold standard paper money system in the world. The Bank of England eventually served as the example imitated throughout the world, particularly in the latter 19th century and into the early 20th century. January
Friday, March 13, 2015
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Reality Check: How Fast is China Growing? Global Recession at Hand
How Fast is China Growing? Analyst estimates of Chinese growth keep getting lower and lower. Yet, those declining estimates have all been from a lofty level: From 10% to 9%, to 8% to 7.5%. China's growth target for 2015 is 7.0%. Many question those growth estimates. I certainly do. Chinese growth is not consistent with energy demand, raw materials, or personal consumption. Worse yet, growth does not factor in pollution or malinvestments in vacant housing, vacant malls, vacant airports, etc.
Thursday, March 12, 2015
David Morgan - Silver Investor
Debt Bomb Going to Explode in September 2015
Renowned precious metals analyst David Morgan is out with a new book called "The Silver Manifesto." In a chapter called "The Debt Bomb," Morgan lays out the biggest problem and the biggest reason to own precious metals. Morgan contends, "Basically, the United States have exported our inflation to every other country. So, for them to stay competitive, they are required to weaken their own currencies for what is called competitive advantage. It simply means if they don't pr
Wednesday, March 11, 2015
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Is There a US$ Shortage? Will it Sink the Global Economy? Again?
Reader Patricia is wondering about a recent ZeroHedge article, The Global Dollar Funding Shortage Is Back With A Vengeance And "This Time It's Different". The last time the world was sliding into a US dollar shortage as rapidly as it is right now, was following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008. The response by the Fed: the issuance of an unprecedented amount of FX liquidity lines in the form of swaps to foreign Central Banks. The "swapped" amount went from practically zero to a peak of
Wednesday, March 11, 2015
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
The Swiss Surprise
Let’s step back in time. As we all remember, on January 15th, a surprise decoupling from the euro peg caused the Swiss franc to rally up to 23%, an unprecedented move in the currency market. Why was the peg introduced and later removed? The SNB pegged the franc to the euro on September 6th, 2011, in the very middle of the Eurozone debt crisis. A few peripheral countries, whose debts had been downgraded to junk status, asked for bailouts. Therefore, investors ran from euros and moved into the Sw
Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Ron Paul
Don't Be Fooled by The Federal Reserve's Anti-Audit Propaganda 
In recent weeks, the Federal Reserve and its apologists in Congress and the media have launched numerous attacks on the Audit the Fed legislation. These attacks amount to nothing more than distortions about the effects and intent of the audit bill. Fed apologists continue to claim that the Audit the Fed bill will somehow limit the Federal Reserve's independence. Yet neither Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen nor any other opponent of the audit bill has ever been able to identify any
Monday, March 09, 2015
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
Market Report: Strong dollar as deflation bites
Currency wars have intensified this week driving the US dollar sharply higher against the euro, yen and pound. Minor currencies are also deliberately devaluing against the world's reserve currency. According to Zerohedge, 21 central banks have cut interest rates since 1st January. The signal this sends out is that people everywhere appear to be showing an increasing preference for money over goods, commonly associated with deflation. Precious metals have been pinned down in the cross-fire. At t
Saturday, March 07, 2015
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