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 | Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco. |
| The origin of cycles |
| It was Karl Marx who was among the first believers that cyclical behaviour was endemic to free markets.He lived through a time when there was a regular cycle of boom and bust, with phases of economic expansion followed by contraction. Workers were employed and then unemployed, and the only way this could be stopped, in Marxian economics, was for the workers to acquire the means of production, or more correctly, the state to do so on their behalf.Other economists, such as Jevons and Wicksell, recSunday, January 24, 2021 |
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 | Nathan Lewis - New World Economics |
| God, Gold and Guns |
| We’ve been looking into One Nation Under Gold (2017), by James Ledbetter.
October 2, 2017: One Nation Under Gold (2017), by James Ledbetter
October 14, 2017: One Nation Under Gold #2: The Silliness of the Bretton Woods Years
Now, we will follow Ledbetter’s account of the end of Bretton Woods in 1971, up to the present.
The account of the 1971 devaluation was, following the pattern of this book, long on details but short on insight. It seemed to people at the time that they “had no choice,” thatSaturday, October 24, 2020 |
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| Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco. |
The fiat money quantity (FMQ)  |
| Summary : This paper seeks to establish a measure of currency quantity that helps economists identify and estimate the risk that confidence in fiat currencies might be significantly eroded or even vanish altogether. It is this phenomenon that was referred to in the great European currency inflations of the 1920s as Katastrophenhausse, or a crack-up boom, when ordinary people lose all confidence in a fiat currency, disposing of it as rapidly as possible instead preferring ownership of goods.This isThursday, September 17, 2020 |
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| History of Gold |
| August 15, 1971 Richard Nixon suspends the Dollar to Gold convertibility |
| United States President Richard Nixon's address to the nation announcing the "temporary" suspension of the dollar's convertibility into gold. While the dollar had struggled throughout most of the 1960s within the parity established at Bretton Woods, this crisis marked the breakdown in the system. The closing of the gold window signified the end of the Bretton Woods system.Friday, April 17, 2020 |
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| Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco. |
| Currency exchange value dynamics |
| In a recent article[i] I postulated that the dollar could lose all its purchasing power with a rapidity that will come as an unpleasant bombshell, even to those who already see inflation as society’s greatest problem in the future. The key to understanding why this may be so lies in human reactions to the monetary consequences of the next credit crisis. The undermining of the dollar as a currency affects all other fiat currencies, because it is the reserve currency and all financial markets use Thursday, March 1, 2018 |
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| Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco. |
| A Roman lesson on inflation |
| “While it is the duty of the citizen to support the state, it is not the duty of the state to support the citizen” – President Grover ClevelandThe point President Cleveland made back in the 1880s was that individuals and vested interests had no rights to preferential treatment by a government elected to represent all. For if preference is given, it is always at the expense of others.Those days are long gone, and the last president to take this stance was Calvin Coolidge in the 1920s. He was follFriday, February 23, 2018 |
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 | Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie |
| Silver Bullion: Once and Future Money |
| – “Silver is as much a monetary metal as gold” – Rickards
– U.S. following footsteps of Roman Empire which collapsed due to currency debasement (must see table)
– Silver bullion is set to rally due to a combination of supply/demand fundamentals, geopolitical pressures creating safe haven demand, and increasing inflation expectations as confidence in central banking and fiat money erodes– “Silver is ripe for a major breakout to the upside in 2018″ – analyst Samson Li of Reuters
– Investors can stMonday, January 29, 2018 |
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 | Chris Powell - GATA |
| Gold's revaluation is 'just a matter of time,' but then so is everything else |
| Our friend P.C. writes:
"As a long-time GATA follower, I fully subscribe to the understanding that markets generally, and particularly the precious metal markets, are controlled to keep international exchange and trade 'stable' and maintain 'Western' market wealth. But I have a question you may be able to answer.
"If the major players in the futures and paper markets are able to contain prices with impunity, who is on the buying side who can compete? Why is there such volatility and any upward mSunday, January 28, 2018 |
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| Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco. |
| Inflation v Deflation – State Finances |
| There is a general belief, and that is all it is, that state finances fare better in an inflationary environment than a deflationary one. This perception arises from the transfer of wealth from lenders to the state through a devaluation of the currency, which occurs with monetary inflation, compared with the transfer of wealth from the state to its creditors through deflation. The effect is undoubtedly true, even though it is played down by governments, but it ignores what happens to continuing Friday, December 8, 2017 |
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 | Jeff Clark - Goldsilver |
| History Says Global Debt Levels Will Lead to Another Crisis |
| It may feel like we’ll escape a debt crisis since, well, the world hasn’t ended in spite of runaway debt levels. Some of us hard money people feel like we’re taking crazy pills; how the heck can debt be so out of control, so completely unpayable, and yet the financial system keeps chugging along as if nothing’s wrong?Well, history has a message for us: the current calm won’t last forever, because there is a direct link between government debt levels and the number of financial crises that occur.Wednesday, October 18, 2017 |
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| Jeff Clark - Goldsilver |
| Top Ten Reasons I Buy Gold Silver [#2] All the Problems of the World = Gold Silver Hyper-Bubble |
| When the average investor thinks about gold, they may view it as an inflation hedge. Or maybe as crisis insurance. Or perhaps they view it solely as a portfolio diversifier.But what if you added up all the reasons to own gold and silver today—and realized they were all about to hit at the same time?That’s Mike Maloney’s reason #2 he owns gold and silver: it’s all happening at once, and this time it’s global:It’s a perfect storm of worldwide trends that are about to explode simultaneously—and pusThursday, September 28, 2017 |
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 | John Butler - Goldmoney |
| The Golden Revolution, Revisited: Chapter 9 |
| This Insight continues the serial publication of the new, Revisited edition of my book, The Golden Revolution (John Wiley and Sons, 2012). (The first instalment can be found here.) The book is being published by Goldmoney and will also appear as a special series of Goldmoney Insights over the coming months. This instalment comprises the fourth chapter of Section II.View the Entire Research Piece as a PDF here.Why Financial Genius Fails, or, a Forensic Study of the 2008-09 Global Financial CrisisWednesday, September 6, 2017 |
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| Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco. |
| Gold – crossing the Rubicon |
| Gold is challenging the $1300 level for the third time this year. If it breaks upwards out of this consolidation phase convincingly, it could be an important event, signalling a dollar that will continue to weaken.The factors driving the dollar lower are several and disparate. The US economy is sluggish relative to the rest of the world, the rise of Asia from which America is excluded is unstoppable, geopolitics are shifting away from US global dominance, and the end is in sight for monopolisticSunday, August 27, 2017 |
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| Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco. |
| Cryptocurrency - its status as money |
| The cryptocurrency craze is fascinating to an economist, or at least a student of catallactics, because it is a test of the theory of exchange ratios and prices, which is what catallactics is about.For this reason, the outcome of the cryptocurrency craze is of great theoretical interest. It is also of interest to students of the psychology of speculation.Supporters of cryptocurrencies claim they are money. If they are unable to substantiate this claim, then we must conclude that cryptocurrenciesThursday, August 10, 2017 |
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| John Butler - Goldmoney |
| The Golden Revolution, Revisited: Chapter 6 |
| This Insight is the ninth in the serial publication of the new, Revisited edition of my book, The Golden Revolution (John Wiley and Sons, 2012). (The first instalment can be found here.) The book is being published by Goldmoney and will also appear as a special series of Goldmoney Insights over the coming months. This instalment comprises the first chapter of Section II.View the Entire Research Piece as a PDF here. The Window Closes“In the past seven years, there has been an average of one interThursday, July 20, 2017 |
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| John Butler - Goldmoney |
| The Golden Revolution, Revisited: Chapter 5 |
| This Insight is the sixth in the serial publication of the new, Revisited edition of my book, The Golden Revolution (John Wiley and Sons, 2012). (The first instalment can be found here.) The book is being published by Goldmoney and will also appear as a special series of Goldmoney Insights over the coming months. This instalment comprises the fifth chapter of Section I.View the Entire Research Piece as a PDF here.The "Reserve Currency Curse" amd the International Aspects of Cantillion Effects“ThTuesday, July 4, 2017 |
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| Nathan Lewis - New World Economics |
| Fumbling and Bumbling |
| As part of our continuing investigations into the Interwar Period, we’ve been looking at a funny episode in 1937.
June 18, 2017: The “Gold Sterilization” of 1937
October 2, 2017: The Interwar Period, 1914-1944
I think it has been productive to spend all this time on the 1930s. I feel like we are airing out a lot of past confusion and trauma. Of course, many people may not agree with my interpretations and conclusions. But, along the way, they might get the data and materials to come to their ownSunday, June 25, 2017 |
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| John Butler - Goldmoney |
| The Golden Revolution, Revisited |
| Back in 2012 John Wiley and Sons published my first book, The Golden Revolution, the core thesis of which was that a longer-term consequence of the global financial crisis of 2008 would be the remonetization of gold. This would occur initially at the international level, that is, as a mean to settle accumulated international imbalances in trade and cross-border investment. The book then also explored how this might come about, what the implications were for the price of gold and for the financiaWednesday, May 24, 2017 |
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| Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco. |
| End of empire |
| "Already, China dominates world trade. Her own economy is already significantly larger than that of the US on the PPP estimates. While being the largest consumer of raw materials, China also exports more finished goods by value than any other country."...In last week’s Insight article, America’s Financial War Strategy, I described how the Chinese government viewed the geopolitical scene. It is clear from earlier remarks by the Peoples Liberation Army’s senior strategist, Major-General Qiao LiangThursday, April 27, 2017 |
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| Nathan Lewis - New World Economics |
| Book Notes: |
| Charles Rist (1874-1955) was a deputy governor of the Bank of France,
and said to be the one who reported Benjamin Strong's "coup de whiskey"
comment made at the conference of central bankers in 1927. Here's a
brief bio:
Born in Lausanne, Switzerland and
studied law at Paris, Charles Rist was a close collaborator of Charles
Gide, whom he eventually succeeded in the chair at Montpellier in 1906
and editor of the Revue d'economie politique. Rist was an advisor
to the post-WWI socialist governmMonday, January 9, 2017 |
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