Super Tuesday may have been the beginning of the end for
the Bernie Sanders campaign, but the ideas that propelled it are likely to
linger for quite some time. With some writers comparing Bernie to Ron Paul
(not in terms of economics and philosophy, of course, but as insurgent
candidates), now seemed like an opportune moment to examine the Sanders
message and legacy, and compare it to Ron’s.
Like Ron, Bernie surprised all the pundits with his
fundraising, polling, and electoral success. In fact, so successful has
Sanders been that Hillary Clinton has been reduced to a pathetic and
unconvincing “me, too” campaign – I can be just like Bernie, if that’s what
you rubes want!
Bernie has gained a lot of traction from his complaints
that Hillary is in the tank for Wall Street and the big banks. He’s likewise
pointed to the six-figure honoraria Hillary has earned from speeches given to
the big banks.
The best the now-hapless Bill Clinton could do in reply was to note that
Bernie, too, had been paid to give speeches. Technically, Bill was right.
Bernie had earned money from public speaking: a whopping $1800 over
the course of a year. The year before that, Bernie had earned $1300 from
public speaking. All of this money was donated to charity, as is the
requirement for U.S. senators.
It’s true that Bernie is better than Hillary on foreign
policy, but in keeping with Rothbard’s Law – everyone concentrates in the
area in which he is worst – Bernie speaks very little about issues of war and
peace. And even there, consistency and principle are elusive: he supported
Bill Clinton’s bombing of Serbia over Kosovo, an act of terror based on
propaganda that rivaled anything George W. Bush ever peddled. Sanders favors
the ongoing drone campaigns, too, and even supported the F-35, one of the
biggest boondoggles in the Pentagon’s long and sorry history.
Bernie’s primary legacy will be to have resuscitated the
idea of socialism in the minds of many Americans. It is a very confused
socialism, to be sure. The young people who follow Bernie can’t even seem to
define socialism, according to recent surveys. And in fact Bernie’s economics
is really just a hyper-Keynesianism rather than out-and-out socialism. But by
suggesting that the Scandinavian countries constitute a model that the United
States should emulate, he has encouraged the idea that only large-scale,
systemic change in the direction of vastly increased government power can
produce the kind of society Americans want.
Capitalism ought to be our default position, since it
conforms to the basic moral insights we acquired in our youth: keep your
word, live up to your agreements, don’t take what doesn’t belong to you, and
do not cause anyone physical harm.
But thanks to years of propaganda to the contrary,
socialism has come to appear to many people as not simply a morally plausible
position but clearly and obviously desirable and superior to the capitalist
alternative. The free market, they are convinced from what they recall from
their elementary school textbooks, leads to “monopoly” and oppression.
Bernie speaks as if the system is rigged against the
people because of business influence in government – a fair enough point, as
far as it goes – but it’s hard to take this criticism seriously when his
proposed solution is to extend the influence of politics over more
and more areas of life and increase the powers and scope of the very
government he is supposed to be criticizing.
The Sanders narrative is rooted in two major historical
claims, both of them dead wrong.
First, Sanders believes “capitalism” was to blame for the
2008 crash. But as LRC readers know, that downturn, like the Great Depression
before it, was preceded by years of Federal Reserve credit expansion.
According to the Austrian theory of the business cycle, the artificial
lowering of interest rates below free-market levels sets in motion an
unsustainable economic boom. The economy is set on a path that could be
sustained only if real resource availability were greater than it really is.
Eventually, when real savings and resources turn out not to exist in the
abundance that the Fed’s interventions misled people into expecting, projects
have to be abandoned and the phony prosperity becomes real recession.
Sanders supporters will no doubt point to the great number of bad mortgages
originated by private lenders. But would these mortgage loans have been
extended in the first place if institutions like Countrywide couldn’t sell
them to the government-privileged Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? Fannie and
Freddie enjoyed special tax and regulatory advantages and had a special line
of credit from the US Treasury – a line of credit everyone knew would be
essentially limitless if push ever came to shove.It was the perfect storm:
the Fed’s crazed monetary policy injected huge quantities of additional
credit circulating throughout the economy, and the federal government’s
various mandates and regulations made real estate an artificially attractive
outlet for all that new money. When this ramshackle edifice came crashing
down, capitalism – which, in the midst of all this money creation and
regulatory lunacy, had never been tried – took the blame.
It was the perfect storm: the Fed’s crazed monetary
policy injected huge quantities of additional credit circulating throughout
the economy, and the federal government’s various mandates and regulations
made real estate an artificially attractive outlet for all that new money.
When this ramshackle edifice came crashing down, capitalism – which, in the
midst of all this money creation and regulatory lunacy, had never been tried
– took the blame.
Indeed, what could be intellectually easier than blaming
the “free market” for a phenomenon a critic doesn’t understand? Ron Paul, on
the other hand, never tired in his own presidential campaigns of going beyond
surface explanations to account for what really happened in the disaster of
’08, and identify who the real culprits were.
The other part of the Sanders story – Scandinavia – is
shallow and misleading, too.
In fact, Denmark’s own prime minister, Lars Lokke
Rasmussen, finally had to correct the Vermont senator’s references to his
country as “socialist.” “I would like to make one thing clear,” Rasmussen
said. “Denmark is far from a socialist planned economy. Denmark is a market
economy.”
Still, there’s no question Denmark has a large public
sector. And it’s starting to suck the life out of the place. Denmark’s
various benefits subsidize idleness to an absurd and unmanageable degree. In
the country’s 98 municipalities, guess how many have a majority of residents
working. If you answered three, you know far more about Denmark than
Bernie and his supporters do.
It’s a similar story in the rest of Scandinavia. For
instance, Sweden’s welfare state was able to develop only because of the
wealth created by decades and decades of a prosperous market economy.
Private-sector job creation was anemic to nonexistent in the decades
following the radical expansion of the Swedish welfare state. And as for Norway,
there are lots of “free” things there, it’s true – if you’re prepared to pay
a 75 percent effective tax rate.
The comparison of Bernie to Ron goes like this: both
launched insurgent, anti-establishment presidential campaigns while in their
70s, shook up their respective party establishments, and attracted large
youth followings. But Bernie is no Ron.
Just on the surface: Bernie is a grump and difficult to
work with; Ron is a kindhearted gentleman who always showed his appreciation
for the people in his office.
More importantly, Ron urged his followers to read and
learn. Countless high school and college students began reading dense and
difficult treatises in economics and political philosophy because Ron
encouraged them to. Bernie’s followers receive no such encouragement. And why
should they? Bernie’s platform merely regurgitates the fallacies and
prejudices his young followers already imbibed in school. What more is
there to read?
Ron’s followers, meanwhile, were curious enough to dig
beneath the surface. Is the state really a benign institution that can
costlessly provide us whatever we might demand? Or might there be moral,
economic, and political factors standing in the way of these utopian dreams?
Bernie’s supporters demand material things for themselves,
to be handed to them at the expense of strangers they have been taught to
despise. But like Ron himself – who as an OB/GYN opposed restrictions on
midwives even though doing so was not in his material interest – the young
Paulians embraced the message of liberty without a thought for material
advantage.
It’s not hard to cultivate a raving band of people
demanding other people’s things. Such appeals arouse the basest aspects of
our nature, and will always attract a crowd. It’s very hard, on the other
hand, to build up an army of young people intellectually curious enough to
read serious books and consider ideas that go beyond the conventional wisdom
they learned in school about government and market. It’s hard to build up a
movement of people whose moral sense is developed enough to recognize that
barking demands and enforcing them with the state’s gun is the behavior of a
thug, not a civilized person. And it’s hard to persuade people of the
counter-intuitive idea that society runs better and individuals are more
prosperous when no one is “in charge” at all.
Yet Ron accomplished all these things. And that is why,
when we position the Vermont senator against the Texas congressman, Ron’s
achievement is so much greater and more historic.