Special Guest: Charles Biderman is the Founder and Chief Executive
Officer of TrimTabs
Investment Research, Inc., an independent investment research firm based
in Sausalito, CA that specializes in publishing detailed daily coverage of
stock market liquidity. He is interviewed regularly on CNBC and Bloomberg
TV and is quoted frequently in the financial media, including Barron's Magazine,
the Wall Street Journal, Forbes, and Investor's Business Daily. He is the
author of TrimTabs Investing: Using Liquidity Theory to Beat the Stock
Market (John Wiley & Sons, 2005). He holds a B.A. from Brooklyn College
and an M.B.A. from Harvard Business School.
30 Minutes
A seasoned professional, Charles Biderman points out that when you create
money, you create debt. When that debt goes to front run demand you will
face the problems we are now facing in the energy industry with supply or
ghost cities in China. Zero interest rates has brought forward demand which
is now resulting in commodity deflation. "There is now no relationship between
the economy and the stock market because of zero interest rate policies!"
Financial Repression
"The markets are rigged by the central bank policy of zero interest
rates. To the extent the markets are rigged we don't have free markets.
That would be Financial Repression!"
A 'No Growth' World
"We are in a no growth world. We have governments in the US, Europe, Japan
and China that are anti-growth, anti-free market growth. On the other hand
we have central banks that are committed to creating as much money as is
necessary to keep stock markets as high as they can be, even though we have
a total disconnect between the economy and the markets. The only reason the
markets are doing as well as they are doing (both equity and bonds) is because
of zero interest rates. In essence free money from the central banks!"
"The zero interest rate policy of the global central banks is creating
a global recession, not a global recovery!"
"Remember, this whole free money binge was to be a bridge over the downturn
so the economy would recover. But when you have no-growth, anti-growth policies
in place prohibiting real economic growth you are going to have no growth
and higher prices."
No-Growth, Anti-Growth Policies |
|
|
Population
Growth |
New Job
Growth |
% |
|
Clinton |
|
|
75% |
|
Bush |
|
|
25% |
|
Obama |
16M |
2M |
12.5% |
* Mostly Part Time Jobs |
The US needs to grow at close to 10% a year to fund the current debt and entitlement
obligations. Charles feels it is obvious that his is not going to happen. "The
US is bankrupt! .... like Vallejo, CA we will be forced to restructure!"
"The central banks have no clue what they are doing ... at some point
the people will realize the emperor has no clothes and the US debt
is not worth the paper it is written on!"